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11 Jun Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on Signals for 06/13/2011

Signals for 06/13/2011

Signals for 06/13/2011

    SELL GOLD This is what John Maynard Keynes would say if he were alive today! A recent article in a financial paper advocated a return to the Gold Standard, and disagreed with John Maynard Keynes’ famous statement “Gold is a barbarous relic”. The financial meltdown of 2008 and the current Middle East turmoil […]

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09 Jun Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on Update on time target arrival

Update on time target arrival

Update on time target arrival

  In my Webinar presentation last Saturday, I provided some dates that I think will mark turning points for the stockmarket. The next date to arrive is June 12, 2011 (This coming Sunday). Since this arrives on the weekend, I’m anticipating a turn on Monday 06/13/11. Considering the recent trend, it appears the market is likely to […]

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29 May Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on System Design Alternatives

System Design Alternatives

System Design Alternatives

  There is certainly no lack of methods for predicting time series. Traditional econometric models (e.g. ARMA) as well as various GARCH formulations have been extensively applied.  More recently models based on Pareto-Levy (nonlinear) distributions incorporating embeddings in phase-space reconstructions have had some success. Neural networks, genetic algorithms, and their A.I. spinoffs are also used with […]

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27 Apr Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on The Trend is not Always Your Friend?

The Trend is not Always Your Friend?

The Trend is not Always Your Friend?

Today on the CNBC TV channel, an old time trader and newsletter writer Dennis Gartman was very bullish on metals and bearish on the US Dollar. It sounds to me like a promotional script to attract the public to follow the trend. Is it time to respect historical levels and be a contrarian?     […]

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21 Apr Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on Positioning For Collapse

Positioning For Collapse

Positioning For Collapse

Today’s trade in the June S&P continued the advance which came on the heels of the key reversal bottom which formed this past Monday. This three day advance fits perfectly with my expectation for the trend to reverse at the 4/22-4/23 time target. The post yesterday explained  procedurally that I would expect the move to […]

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21 Apr Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on “Hi-yo, Silver! Away!”

“Hi-yo, Silver! Away!”

“Hi-yo, Silver! Away!”

Silver is now approaching the January 1980 peak of $50.20 per oz. Traders who follow historic data will watch this level carefully. To be a Lone Ranger and pick a market top, you will need a mechanical timing trading tool. This is what I discuss in my webinars. Happy Trading.      

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20 Apr Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on Red Alert Continued

Red Alert Continued

Red Alert Continued

The strength we saw in the major equity indices today is more consistent with the market forming a top as we approach time targets of  4/22 and 4/23. Based on the notion that the market low that formed two days ago on 4/18 represents the start of a new thrust upward, the expectation is that its run […]

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19 Apr Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on Market Red Alert

Market Red Alert

Market Red Alert

Attention-Attention!!! Abrupt and Extreme move to occur in the Stock market  this Friday(04/22/11) and/or Monday(04/25/11). More than two months ago a number of factors began to indicate trend reversal for April 22, and April 23. When I derive a weekend target such as Saturday 04/23, I necessarily look at the Friday before and the following  Monday. […]

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18 Apr Posted by in Market Forecasting, Options Analysis | Comments Off on A Fairy Tale

A Fairy Tale

A Fairy Tale

Once upon a time, many eons ago,there lived a young man, who lived in the district of the “Dark Side”. His village was so named, since it was widely believed that no one could predict the future. Being a young lad he found this quite sad and at least quite peculiar. For what was obvious […]

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