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Trading Strategy  // Posts tagged as "Trading Strategy"

09 Jun Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on Update on time target arrival

Update on time target arrival

Update on time target arrival

  In my Webinar presentation last Saturday, I provided some dates that I think will mark turning points for the stockmarket. The next date to arrive is June 12, 2011 (This coming Sunday). Since this arrives on the weekend, I’m anticipating a turn on Monday 06/13/11. Considering the recent trend, it appears the market is likely to […]

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29 May Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on System Design Alternatives

System Design Alternatives

System Design Alternatives

  There is certainly no lack of methods for predicting time series. Traditional econometric models (e.g. ARMA) as well as various GARCH formulations have been extensively applied.  More recently models based on Pareto-Levy (nonlinear) distributions incorporating embeddings in phase-space reconstructions have had some success. Neural networks, genetic algorithms, and their A.I. spinoffs are also used with […]

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29 Apr Posted by in Trend Analysis | Comments Off on Trend Analysis

Trend Analysis

Trend Analysis

  All forms of technical analysis are arbitrary from the standpoint of attempting to indicate what should or could occur. They are also arbitrary to the extent they attempt to anticipate a change in the market’s behavior, say from moving up to down or vice versa. The one exception to this is a certain pure […]

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21 Apr Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on Positioning For Collapse

Positioning For Collapse

Positioning For Collapse

Today’s trade in the June S&P continued the advance which came on the heels of the key reversal bottom which formed this past Monday. This three day advance fits perfectly with my expectation for the trend to reverse at the 4/22-4/23 time target. The post yesterday explained  procedurally that I would expect the move to […]

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20 Apr Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on Red Alert Continued

Red Alert Continued

Red Alert Continued

The strength we saw in the major equity indices today is more consistent with the market forming a top as we approach time targets of  4/22 and 4/23. Based on the notion that the market low that formed two days ago on 4/18 represents the start of a new thrust upward, the expectation is that its run […]

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