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technical signals  // Posts tagged as "technical signals"

02 Aug Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on ORDER RESTORED TO THE EQUITY MARKET

ORDER RESTORED TO THE EQUITY MARKET

ORDER RESTORED TO THE EQUITY MARKET

Finally the world is perfect again! Today’s action in the stock market confirms the expectation for lower prices. As we discussed in our posting, last Thursday, the market turned on a dime during Monday’s  early morning trade, marking the end of the correction wave # 2 and the start of the impulsive wave #3.  Basis the September e-mini, […]

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27 Jul Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on DUALITY IN THE MARKET

DUALITY IN THE MARKET

DUALITY IN THE MARKET

  In a perfect world you wouldn’t be reading this now, since originally I didn’t plan on writing it until next week sometime. So much for perfection. Last weekend I was thinking about how wonderfully compliant the stock market was in following my forecast to the tee, based on all my models and calculations. Since […]

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03 Jul Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on Current Projection for Equity Markets

Current Projection for Equity Markets

Current Projection for Equity Markets

  Basis the September e-mini S&P, the next major time target I’ve projected is July 31st. This date arrives on a Sunday, so  my expectation for a significant transition in the behavior of the market will likely be as of Monday, August 1st. During the first part of last week, I had worked out some overhead […]

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11 Jun Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on Signals for 06/13/2011

Signals for 06/13/2011

Signals for 06/13/2011

    SELL GOLD This is what John Maynard Keynes would say if he were alive today! A recent article in a financial paper advocated a return to the Gold Standard, and disagreed with John Maynard Keynes’ famous statement “Gold is a barbarous relic”. The financial meltdown of 2008 and the current Middle East turmoil […]

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29 May Posted by in Market Forecasting | Comments Off on System Design Alternatives

System Design Alternatives

System Design Alternatives

  There is certainly no lack of methods for predicting time series. Traditional econometric models (e.g. ARMA) as well as various GARCH formulations have been extensively applied.  More recently models based on Pareto-Levy (nonlinear) distributions incorporating embeddings in phase-space reconstructions have had some success. Neural networks, genetic algorithms, and their A.I. spinoffs are also used with […]

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02 May Posted by in Techical Analysis | Comments Off on Confirming Signals

Confirming Signals

Confirming Signals

  Whenever we look at a possible signal on whatever trading system or methodology you use, it’s always best to add confirming “sub-signals”. These smaller minor signals reinforce the original signal and make the trade much more reliable. I call these “Supporting Structures”. I use primarily a basic bar chart to read trend direction and […]

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